The Federal Government Is So Big, It Even Takes the Washington Post’s Breath Away
If nothing else, the crisis over the debt ceiling is reminding the country of the astonishing reach of the federal spigot, encapsulated by a figure that President Obama tossed out recently: The government sends out “70 million checks” every month.Reporter Alec MacGillis went on to note that the president underestimated:
The figures used by Obama and Geithner were, if anything, too low. They relied on Treasury Department figures from June that include Social Security (56 million checks that month), veterans benefits (4.5 million checks), and spending on non-defense contractors and vendors (1.8 million checks). But those numbers do not include reimbursements to Medicare providers and vendors (100 million claims in June), and electronic transfers to the 21 million households receiving food stamps. Nor do they include most spending by the Defense Department, which has a payroll of 6.4 million active and retired employees and, on average, pays nearly 1 million invoices and 660,000 travel expense claims per month.However, we should remember that
The mind-boggling number challenges a common critique of the federal government as a creaky apparatus where tax dollars are lost in the bureaucratic cracks. From the vantage point of the 70 million or 80 million checks, the government is a finely tuned machine that brings in revenue and disperses it back out across the country.Whew. For a minute there I was worried.
Posted on July 27, 2011 Posted to Cato@Liberty
David Boaz on the debt debate on FBN
Posted on July 25, 2011 Posted to Cato@Liberty
Lobbyists Are Doing Fine in the Recession
Headlines this week reported a slight decline in reported expenditures by federal lobbyists. Of course, it would have been hard to keep up the pace set as companies and other interest groups fought to get a piece of the TARP bailout, the massive stimulus bill, the omnibus appropriations bill, the health care bill, and other spending and regulatory bills that passed during the 2008-2010 legislative frenzy. But don’t worry about the big lobbying firms. They’ll do fine.I explain why those reports can be misleading, cite Adam Smith and F. A. Hayek and lots of recent news stories, and conclude:
Lobbying is one of the costs—not the worst cost, but certainly a galling one—of a government that is “generous and compassionate,” based on “a progressive vision of our society,” a government that “helps families find jobs at a decent wage, care they can afford, a retirement that is dignified,” a government that “directs help to the inspired and the effective,” a government that will “restore the security of working families.” If that’s the government you want, then lobbying is an inevitable adjunct. Let’s not forget that analysis from Craig Holman of Public Citizen: “the amount spent on lobbying . . . is related entirely to how much the federal government intervenes in the private economy.”Read the whole thing.
Posted on July 25, 2011 Posted to Cato@Liberty
Don’t Cry for the Lobbyists
Headlines this week reported a slight decline in reported expenditures by federal lobbyists. Of course, it would have been hard to keep up the pace set as companies and other interest groups fought to get a piece of the TARP bailout, the massive stimulus bill, the omnibus appropriations bill, the health care bill, and other spending and regulatory bills that passed during the 2008-2010 legislative frenzy.
But don't worry about the big lobbying firms. They'll do fine. Indeed, Chris Frates of National Journal reports:
,Some of Washington's biggest lobbying shops are pulling down good money this year, but you wouldn't know it from their public disclosures.
The early reports of second-quarter revenue numbers, due at midnight on Wednesday, had lobbyists bemoaning how a slumping economy and a deficit-obsessed Congress were hurting business. But that downturn in lobbying revenue is more than offset by the regulatory work, political intelligence, investigation prep, and agency lobbying that is part of the unreported influence economy, insiders say... .
Indeed, the passage of health care and Wall Street reform, from which K Street made a killing lobbying for two years, have now morphed into a regulatory gravy train as corporations scramble to influence the hundreds of rules that will soon govern their industries.
And because regulatory work requires specialists who understand the rule-making process and can help clients comply with, or challenge, the new rules, it is much more lucrative than traditional lobbying — paying two to three times more.
Construction may be on the ropes, apparel manufacturing is falling fast, even financial companies have been laying off thousands. But Washington lobbyists are doing just fine.
People who support an expansive government with many services, from consumer protection to health care to education to infrastructure and so on, dream of a federal government made up of selfless, public-spirited officers and employees, so unlike the greedy, self-interested private sector. But the reality is that people are people. Government employees are just as self-interested as corporate employees. And therefore they are susceptible to political influence, persuasion by interested parties, actual bribes, and personal preferences. The libertarian argument for keeping more of society in the private sector is not that there's no self-interest or corruption in business; it is that the market system has more competition, more checks and balances, and more incentives to satisfy customers. You can make money in the private sector by cutting costs; government agencies that cut costs find their appropriations reduced. Businesses must constantly search for better ways to deliver goods and services lest customers move to their competitors. Government agencies are usually monopolies that forbid competition. With no owners seeking a profit on their investment, no financial reward for doing a good job, no penalty for wasting money, government employees and agencies have little incentive to deliver goods and services efficiently. As Adam Smith suggested with his "invisible hand" metaphor, the competitive market system channels self-interest in a socially beneficial way — into the search for ways to attract customers — while the uncompetitive non-market system actually encourages pure self-interest.
And one aspect of that is lobbying. Big government means big lobbying. When you lay out a picnic, you get ants. And today's federal budget is the biggest picnic in history.
Lobbyists love spending bills. They also love a complicated tax system with myriad rates and exemptions. And as National Journal noted, they especially love complex regulations. Just look at some of the lobbying stories in the past week: "Facing increased regulatory scrutiny for its proposed acquisition of T-Mobile," AT&T is spending more on lobbying. "Desperate to stop AT&T [in Washington, not in the hearts and minds of consumers], Sprint Doubles Lobbying Spend." "Google, facing an antitrust probe by federal authorities, boosted its lobbying expenditures." "Goldman Sachs flexes its lobbying muscle." GM and Chrysler used their taxpayer bailout money to lobby the government. Using taxpayers' money to lobby the taxpayers for more money is a continuing scandal: State and local governments have spent more than $1.2 billion in the past decade lobbying the federal government. "Spending on public-sector lobbying peaked at $135 million in 2008 and 2009, when officials scrambled to tap into the nearly $800 billion stimulus package to fund public works projects and academic programs," report Scripps Howard News Service and the Center for Responsive Politics.
As Craig Holman of the Ralph Nader-founded Public Citizen told Marketplace Radio after a report on rising lobbying expenditures during the financial crisis, "the amount spent on lobbying ... is related entirely to how much the federal government intervenes in the private economy."
Marketplace's Ronni Radbill noted then, "In other words, the more active the government, the more the private sector will spend to have its say... . With the White House injecting billions of dollars into the economy [in early 2009], lobbyists say interest groups are paying a lot more attention to Washington than they have in a very long time."
Of course, this is not a new story. I pointed out in the Wall Street Journal in 1983 that Hayek had told us what to expect back in 1944:
,If more money can be made by investing in Washington than by drilling another oil well, money will be spent there.
Nobel laureate F.A. Hayek explained the process 40 years ago in his prophetic book The Road to Serfdom: "As the coercive power of the state will alone decide who is to have what, the only power worth having will be a share in the exercise of this directing power."
Lobbying is one of the costs — not the worst cost, but certainly a galling one — of a government that is "generous and compassionate," based on "a progressive vision of our society," a government that "helps families find jobs at a decent wage, care they can afford, a retirement that is dignified," a government that "directs help to the inspired and the effective," a government that will "restore the security of working families." If that's the government you want, then lobbying is an inevitable adjunct. Let's not forget that analysis from Craig Holman of Public Citizen: "the amount spent on lobbying ... is related entirely to how much the federal government intervenes in the private economy."
Posted on July 25, 2011 Posted to Cato@Liberty
The Norwegian Killer’s Anti-individualist Nationalism
I was reminded of the American writer Ann [sic] Rand, in that he talks in his manifesto about the government being too soft, too sort of politically afraid to draw the kind of nationalist lines that he calls for.Say what? When did Ayn Rand ever call for a hard, nationalist government? She was an immigrant, of course, and Breivik was greatly motivated by anti-immigration sentiment. She was staunchly individualist, just the opposite of nationalism. And she favored a government strictly limited to the protection of individual rights. Wertheimer reaches new depths in stupid Ayn Rand references. A Norwegian newspaper's report on Breivik (in an automatic Google translation) includes this telling line:
In one of the posts he states that politics today no longer revolves around socialism against capitalism, but that the fight is between nationalism and internationalism.His online posts and his 1500-page online book seem to point to a fairly consistent nationalist, anti-immigrant, anti-Islamic "cultural conservative" defense of Europe's "Judeo-Christian culture." Meanwhile, Norwegian bloggers have discovered that he lifted large passages from the 35,000-word manifesto of the anti-capitalist "Unabomber" Theodore Kaczynski.
Posted on July 24, 2011 Posted to Cato@Liberty
Bastiat on Free Trade and Living on the State
Because nobody else can understand them, modern economists speak to one another. They gossip in algebra and remonstrate in differential calculus. And when the pungently correct mathematical equation doesn't occur to them, they awkwardly fall back on the English language, like a middle-aged American trying to remember his high-school Spanish. The economist Frédéric Bastiat, who lived in the first half of the 19th century, wrote in French, not symbols. But his words—forceful, clear and witty—live to this day.Bastiat might have something to say about the attitudes and policies that have brought both Europe and the United States to the brink of debt disaster:
"The dominant notion, the one that has permeated every class of society," he wrote in the wake of the Revolution of 1848, "is that the state is responsible for providing a living for everyone." "Poor people!" he lamented of the duped French populace in the same tumultuous year. "How much disillusionment is in store for them! It would have been so simple and so just to ease their burden by decreasing their taxes; they want to achieve this through the plentiful bounty of the state and they cannot see that the whole mechanism consists in taking away ten to give it back eight, not to mention the true freedom that will be destroyed in the operation!"And of course, taking away eight to give back ten is fun while it lasts. But it can't last forever.
Posted on July 23, 2011 Posted to Cato@Liberty
Should There Be ‘Shared Sacrifice’?
We should not be asking sacrifices from middle-class folks who are working hard every day, from the most vulnerable in our society -- we should not be asking them to make sacrifices if we’re not asking the most fortunate in our society to make some sacrifices as well.I call that a fundamentally flawed argument:
The main thing our government does these days, despite the lack of any constitutional authority for it, is tax some people and transfer money to other people. ...But there is no moral equivalence in the two sides of the transfer system. On the one hand, the government takes money by force from people who have earned it. On the other hand, it gives some of that money to people who have not earned it. Taking yet more money that people have earned is simply not equivalent to reducing the size of a government transfer.There is, however, one way that we could ask businesses and the rich to join in the deficit-reduction effort:
But here’s a way to satisfy both those who see spending as the problem and those who want the highest-taxed Americans to pay yet more: Start cutting subsidies to businesses and the rich. Let’s cut out the big-business subsidy machine, the Export-Import Bank. Let’s get rid of farm subsidies. Let’s tell affluent people who build houses in coastal flood areas to pay for their own flood insurance at market prices.Read the whole thing.
Posted on July 19, 2011 Posted to Cato@Liberty
The Debt Ceiling and the Balanced Budget Amendment
A balanced-budget amendment would deprive policymakers of the flexibility they need to address national security and economic emergencies.A fair point. Statesmen should have the ability to "address national security and economic emergencies." But the same day's paper included this graphic on the growth of the national debt: Does this look like the record of policymakers making sensible decisions, running surpluses in good year and deficits when they have to "address national security and economic emergencies"? Of course not. Once Keynesianism gave policymakers permission to run deficits, they spent with abandon year after year. And that's why it makes sense to impose rules on them, even rules that leave less flexibility than would be ideal if you had ideal statesmen. Indeed, the debt ceiling itself should be that kind of rule, one that limits the amount of debt policymakers can run up. But it has obviously failed. We’ve become so used to these stunning, incomprehensible, unfathomable levels of deficits and debt — and to the once-rare concept of trillions of dollars — that we forget how new all this debt is. In 1980, after 190 years of federal spending, the national debt was “only” $1 trillion. Now, just 30 years later, it’s sailing past $14 trillion. Historian John Steele Gordon points out how unnecessary our situation is:
There have always been two reasons for adding to the national debt. One is to fight wars. The second is to counteract recessions. But while the national debt in 1982 was 35% of GDP, after a quarter century of nearly uninterrupted economic growth and the end of the Cold War the debt-to-GDP ratio has more than doubled. It is hard to escape the idea that this happened only because Democrats and Republicans alike never said no to any significant interest group. Despite a genuine economic emergency, the stimulus bill is more about dispensing goodies to Democratic interest groups than stimulating the economy. Even Sen. Charles Schumer (D., N.Y.) — no deficit hawk when his party is in the majority — called it “porky.”Annual federal spending rose by a trillion dollars when Republicans controlled the government from 2001 to 2007. It has risen another trillion during the Bush-Obama response to the financial crisis. So spending every year is now twice what it was when Bill Clinton left office. Republicans and Democrats alike should be able to find wasteful, extravagant, and unnecessary programs to cut back or eliminate. They could find some of them here in this report by Chris Edwards. In the Kentucky Resolutions, Thomas Jefferson wrote, "In questions of power, then, let no more be heard of confidence in man, but bind him down from mischief by the chains of the Constitution." Just so. When it becomes clear that Congress as a body cannot be trusted with the management of the public fisc, then bind them down with the chains of the Constitution, even — or especially — chains that deny them the flexibility they have heretofore abused.
Posted on July 19, 2011 Posted to Cato@Liberty
Shared Sacrifice in the Fiscal Crisis
The debt ceiling discussion has been full of talk about "shared sacrifice" and a "balanced approach" and proclamations that "we can't ask for cuts from the vulnerable without getting new revenues from the most fortunate people in our society." But this is a fundamentally flawed argument.
The main thing our government does these days, despite the lack of any constitutional authority for it, is tax some people and transfer money to other people. Many of us find ourselves on both sides of that process, as much of the federal government today is a vast system of transfers among the middle class. But there is no moral equivalence in the two sides of the transfer system. On the one hand, the government takes money by force from people who have earned it. On the other hand, it gives some of that money to people who have not earned it. Taking yet more money that people have earned is simply not equivalent to reducing the size of a government transfer.
Currently the top one-tenth of 1 percent of American taxpayers pay 18 percent of the income taxes. The top 1 percent pay 38 percent of the income taxes, and the top 5 percent of taxpayers pay 59 percent of all income taxes. Just what percentage do President Obama and his allies think would be appropriate?
Everybody talks about the return of Keynesianism these days. We've ratcheted up federal spending in a vain attempt to put people back to work. But Lord Keynes himself suggested that 25 percent of GDP was the "maximum tolerable proportion" that the government should take. And total government spending in the United States is already around 39 percent and headed up if we don't make changes. We are creating an unaffordable and economically destructive transfer state.
It's rhetorically appealing to say that "millionaires and billionaires" should sacrifice to solve our fiscal problem. But the most productive people in our society, the ones who invent new products and bring them to market, manage the businesses that deliver the services we need, allocate capital where it's most needed, cure our diseases, and in other ways deliver goods and services that we choose to pay for — those people are already paying a top federal income tax rate of 35 percent. On top of that you have to add about 2.4 percent for Medicare taxes, plus an extra 0.9 percent "Medicare surtax" on high earners, plus state taxes that average about 4 percent but can range much higher. It is morally problematic to take so much money from anyone, and taking higher percentages from some people than others adds further moral complications.
We have a spending problem. Government has become too big and too expensive. What Christopher Hitchens wrote about the financial crisis applies to our whole system today: "Everybody was promised everything, and almost everybody fell for the populist bait." And now we're running out of money.
But here's a way to satisfy both those who see spending as the problem and those who want the highest-taxed Americans to pay yet more: Start cutting subsidies to businesses and the rich. Let's cut out the big-business subsidy machine, the Export-Import Bank. Let's get rid of farm subsidies. Let's tell affluent people who build houses in coastal flood areas to pay for their own flood insurance at market prices.
Americans aren't undertaxed. And that certainly includes the most productive people in our society — the ones whom President Obama disparages as "the most fortunate." We shouldn't be raising taxes. But as we face up to our overspending problem, we can certainly cut out transfers to the rich along with trimming all the other spending programs that "promised everything to everybody."
Posted on July 18, 2011 Posted to Cato@Liberty
Vive La Revolution?
Compared to the American Revolution, the French Revolution is very disappointing to libertarians. Compared to the Russian Revolution, it looks pretty good. And it also looks good, at least in the long view, compared to the ancien regime that preceded it.... Lord Acton wrote that for decades before the revolution “the Church was oppressed, the Protestants persecuted or exiled, . . . the people exhausted by taxes and wars.” The rise of absolutism had centralized power and led to the growth of administrative bureaucracies on top of the feudal land monopolies and restrictive guilds.... The results of that philosophical error—that the state is the embodiment of the “general will,” which is sovereign and thus unconstrained—have often been disastrous, and conservatives point to the Reign of Terror in 1793-94 as the precursor of similar terrors in totalitarian countries from the Soviet Union to Pol Pot’s Cambodia. In Europe the results of creating democratic but essentially unconstrained governments have been far different but still disappointing to liberals.... Still, as Constant celebrated in 1816, in England, France, and the United States, libertyRead the whole thing.is the right to be subjected only to the laws, and to be neither arrested, detained, put to death or maltreated in any way by the arbitrary will of one or more individuals. It is the right of everyone to express their opinion, choose a profession and practice it, to dispose of property, and even to abuse it; to come and go without permission, and without having to account for their motives or undertakings. It is everyone’s right to associate with other individuals, either to discuss their interests, or to profess the religion which they and their associates prefer, or even simply to occupy their days or hours in a way which is most compatible with their inclinations or whims.Compared to the ancien regime of monarchy, aristocracy, class, monopoly, mercantilism, religious uniformity, and arbitrary power, that’s the triumph of liberalism.
Posted on July 14, 2011 Posted to Cato@Liberty